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News in Review
Market Reports
Food Quiz
Industry Discussion
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Ice Coffee Summer. What's with all the ice coffee?
By: Steve Weiss
Is there a quick-serve chain anywhere that didn't run an ice coffee promotion this summer? Or at the very least featuring a coffee-flavored ice cream or slushy drink? How did a modest Northeastern regional specialty so quickly and universally become so...well...hot?
Far more than a tempest in a chilled cup, the ice-coffee craze represents the confluence of many essential industry trends. As everything else in the restaurant world these days, one lead factor in the story is cost, with "affordable treat" stamped all over the ice coffee phenomenon. But this is also a story of favorable demographics, daypart extensions, flavor searches, traditional soft drink declines, and the driving ambition of the suddenly caffeinated elephant in the room, McDonald's.
To first give this some quantitative context, NPD Group analyst Bonnie Riggs notes that the restaurant industry sold a reported 640 million servings of ice coffee in the calendar year ending March 2008. That's a 38 percent increase over the previous year, on top of a 37 percent industrywide increase from the year before that. For the quick-service industry, the most recent year saw 40 percent growth in ice coffee sales, with this segment accounting for the vast majority of total sales and total growth.
Now, if one considers that, according to the National Coffee Association, 52 percent of Americans over the age of 18 drink coffee every day and that U.S. consumption of coffee is 400 million cups per day, some bells really start to go off. It's not just that the growth rate in the consumption of ice coffee is so steep. It's that the ice coffee market is still virtually untapped in terms of its potential.
Another compelling piece of data, Riggs points out, is that the demographic most enthusiastically supporting the chilled coffee drink phenomenon is the caffeine-craving, sweet-on-sugar, 18-to-34-year-old consumer—key to quick-serve success. Interestingly the phenomenon swings to the feminine side, which can be of particular value to an industry trying to attract more female customers. The next largest group of ice coffee drinkers is the 50-plus crowd, although presumably it includes purists not interested in berry coffee flavorings or coffee shakes with whipped-in shots of espresso.
While Starbucks gets a lot of credit for the popularization of the cold coffee-flavored drink trend thanks to its Frappuccino, the current actual leader of the ice coffee pack is Dunkin' Donuts. Having brewed fresh ice coffee year-round for more than 25 years, the company takes great pride in having pioneered the industry-standard double-brew system for ice coffee, in which a double portion of ground coffee is used in the base brewing to ward off dilution by ice. The chain even lays claim to selling nearly one-third of all the restaurant ice coffees sold in the U.S.
It's clear that times are changing, and the competition...
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"What we need is more people who specialize in the impossible."
Theodore Roethke
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View updated pricing and information each week on the website for the following food-commodity markets:
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Beef, Veal & Lamb |
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Beef production last week declined .8% and was 2% less than a year ago. Lighter cattle weights and tightening supplies of slaughter ready cattle could cause beef output to track below 2007 levels in the coming months. This factor and the resumption of beef exports to South Korea are bullish for beef. The beef markets are beginning to move upward with end cuts in the lead. Additional beef market increases could be forthcoming over the next week or two as buyers secure product for the upcoming Labor Day Holiday. Prices per pound FOB from USDA.
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Dairy |
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The CME block and barrel markets have moved lower in recent days but the bottom may be near. The CME block and barrel markets have not traded appreciably below the existing levels in 15 months. Further, more milk is beginning to be directed to schools for the restart of the school year. The block and barrel markets could turn modestly upward soon. The butter market is jumping higher. The butter market usually peaks this month before starting a downward course in September. Prices per pound, except Class I Cream (hundred weight), from USDA.
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Poultry |
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US chicken producers continue to curtail forthcoming chicken production plans. US broiler egg sets last week marked the largest decline compared to the previous year in at least 5 years. The 6 week moving average for broiler egg sets is now 3.1% less than 2007. Chicken production is projected to fall below year ago levels by mid September which is bullish for the chicken markets. Chicken wing demand typically increases during the late summer for the upcoming football season. A $.30 increase in the jumbo cut chicken wing market is not uncommon during the next 6 weeks. Prices USDA, FOB per pound except eggs (dozen).
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Seafood |
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The white shrimp markets continue to track well above the previous year levels due to reduced fishing here in the US and stagnant to declining imports. Some of the shrimp markets typically move lower as the summer ends and the fall progresses. However, any market declines this year are anticipated to be tempered. High feed costs are impacting fish farming including catfish. The catfish market could remain inflated. Prices for fresh product, unless noted per pound from Fisheries Market News.
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Pork |
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Pork production last week declined 1.9% but was 5.7% greater than the previous year. The pork markets have been nothing short of remarkable. Despite notable gains in pork output compared to prior years the USDA pork cutout is trading at record highs. Its almost entirely due to exports. Export trade could wane some in the coming months but should remain historically solid. The sparerib market usually tracks upward during the next 2 weeks. Prices per pound FOB from USDA.
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Produce |
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The Idaho potato markets may have topped but are expected to remain historically inflated throughout most of this month. The Idaho harvest typically gets underway next week but this years crop is modestly behind. Additionally, 2008 Idaho potato acreage is the lowest in 28 years. Still, the Idaho potato markets are expected to move sharply lower in September. Romaine lettuce supplies are limited and the market is inflated. Iceberg lettuce shipments are adequate. The overall onion harvest is anticipated to build in the coming weeks which could pressure onion prices lower. Prices shipping point unless noted (terminal) FOB from USDA
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Oil and Grains |
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Two recent private firm forecasts have suggested that the corn and soybean harvests will be notably larger than the current USDA estimate. The markets are erratic. Prices per pound (oils) or bushel (grains) FOB from USDA.
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Canned and Frozen Food |
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Tomato Products, Canned - The California tomato harvest is progressing but is slow compared to prior years. The PTAB is projecting the harvest to reach 3.7 million tons by August 9th. The markets remain firm. Price per case (6/10) FOB from Supply and Market Report.
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Processed Fruits and Vegetables - The green pea for processing harvest will persist deep into August due to the lateness of the planting and maturation. Still, the green pea harvest for processing should be adequate. The markets are firm. Prices FOB per case from Supply and Market Report.
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Restaurateur in trouble - I need help!
Community member jacontrerasv writes...
I’m facing the most difficult decision of my restaurateur adventure
since I started 2 years ago. As many I started with out knowledge and money.
My place was intended for the neighborhood - Mexican, Latinos. Thinks are
different; my clients are people outside neighborhood, people far from
our place. They found out because we got a lot exposure to media, TV,
press, magazine.
We do good business with dinner, specially Thursday,
Friday,...
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Hiring For kitchen. Male vs. Female.
Community member Rami writes...
I'm looking to add a member to my kitchen. Am I wrong to assume that a
male will work better than a female? We have a small kitchen and i
already have two males + myself working there. I am not sure how female
will go into the mix of a face paced, hot kitchen. If I had a job just
for prepping I would hire, but all my working are required to prep,
clean, and cook. Am I crazy?...
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Value of Bar & Grill
Community member twotoejoe writes...
If it were a QSR or fast food unit, I could value it. But I'm kinda
lost with this Bar & Grill, casual dining concept. This unit is
located in a strip mall, doing 1.2 million a year. Rent is
approximately 5k per month, with a 10 year lease. This unit has been
open 8 years. The front of the house and bar area is in excellent
condition. Very attractive; wifi, wii, 10 plasma TV's, seats 150 in
seperate non smoking dining room from bar. Bar seats around 40 with
pool...
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Me and My Coiled Frond
When my coiled frond pokes through the soil it is a sure sign that spring has arrived. I am only available to harvest for about two weeks in any area I am discovered before I unfurl into graceful yet inedible plumes. My harvest spreads across the country, beginning in the Pacific Northwest and migrating east where our most popular specimens are found on our prime terrain. Respectively, my centers begin gray and turn a lush green as the harvest moves east. My taste is a cross between asparagus, green beans, and artichokes. I provide all these wonderful flavors along with a very appealing chewy texture. I can be steamed, simmered, braised, sautéed, or boiled. You will find me roaming around in salads, standing tall and proud in vegetable medleys, or drenched in hollandaise, maltaise, or butter sauce. Recently I have appeared in many a fine meal drizzled with some kind of ancient black vinegar from Italy that's over 100 years old. I am an excellent source of vitamin A and a reasonably good source of vitamin C and fiber. For a while we thought Townsend had made us immortal in his music, but we've learned that Uncle Ernie was not referring to us at all.
What am I?
The Food Quiz has is brought to you by Culinary Specialty Produce, a specialty produce broker that scours the world for the very best in specialty produce. Contact them at 908-789-4700 or by sending an email to info@culinaryproduce.com.
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